Relief pitcher Brad Lincoln, however, has been filthy. He’s
been dominant. There is a very real chance that he might, in fact, be
ManBearPig. As a reliever this year, Lincoln has struck out 10.9 batters per 9
innings while walking just 2.6 and his WHIP is 0.83. Opponents are hitting just
.157 against him and his GB/FB ratio is 1.41, nearly triple what it is as a
starter. His ERA out of the bullpen is 0.38 and he has not allowed a single
inherited runner to score this season.
One feather in Neal Huntington’s cap so far during his
Pirates tenure is that he has always been able to cobble together successful
bullpens using players off the proverbial scrap heap. This includes landing
free agent Octavio Dotel (and then swindling the Dodgers at the deadline to get
James McDonald) and getting Joel Hanrahan when he was a struggling starter and
turning him into “The Hammer.” The truth is that closers are simply overvalued
in today’s game and Huntington seems to realize this. For this reason, I’m not
holding my breath waiting for the Pirates to sign a closer to a Papelbon-esque
$50M deal, and that’s a good thing. I’m also not so sure we’ll see the Bucs
keep Hammer through next year when he is likely to make $8M or so which is a
ton for a team like the Pirates. The thing is, just because closers are
overvalued, doesn’t mean that they don’t have value. For a contending team,
having a guy at the back end of that bullpen to simply shut the door is a big
deal. You could argue that it would be a bigger deal to have a guy to shut the
door in the highest leverage situations and not simply the 9th
inning. You’d probably be right, but for the time being, that’s simply not how
managers handle things.
This brings me back to Lincoln. While it may be a little
premature, you could make a pretty strong case that Lincoln is the guy who is
most likely to take over as the closer if and when Joel Hanrahan is dealt. If
the Pirates are a little proactive, it’s possible that they could lock down
their closer for the next five years at an affordable rate so they don’t have
to worry about finding their next diamond in the rough. Since Lincoln has had
such limited major league success, the Pirates might be able to sign him to a 5
year, $14M deal similar to the one Matt Moore signed with Tampa after being in
the majors for about an hour and a half. Assuming Lincoln works out, which is obviously
a risk, this would mean the Pirates could get their closer for half a decade
without having to worry about overpaying for the save statistic. Even if he
doesn’t quite pan out, this isn’t a franchise crippling deal and the team would
still be able to operate normally even under their tight financial
restrictions. Sure, there are other guys on the team who are worth of extensions,
probably more worthy than Lincoln. I’d love to get McDonald locked down for a
few years right about now. This might also be a decent time to try and buy low
on Pedro Alvarez who could very well hit 30 home runs this year. You could even
make a case for Pine Richland’s own Neil Walker. However, all of those
negotiations would probably be tougher and wind up with the Pirates signing a
bigger deal. Lincoln, at 27 and under team control for 5+ years simply doesn’t
have any leverage. This deal would also offer some financial security for a guy
who looked like a potential AAAA pitcher back in March. If I’m the Pirates, I
get this deal done now. I’m super cereal…
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